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So.. you have a 2% chance of getting something worth 3 to 4 times the 195 gems you are gambling with, a 25% chance of getting something anyone can make in a Provision House and 15% chance of getting something that many can make in their RPH. This just proves my initial gut instinct, namely that if you need to spend gems on refills you're way better off going for one you actually want.
You are either abusing the trust of your players or treating them as stupid.....neither are going to want to pay your way by throwing money at your game if you can not see how far from the mark you are with content like this. Some joined up, middle ground ( A little advantage to the player ) thinking is needed right now if players like myself are not going to follow the many others out the door.