Young Wood Cutter

Hey All

I was looking for some other players views on the rough percentage drop of adventures from Young Wood Cutter adventure. (Ali Baba 1st, 2nd and 3rd) I have done a LOT of Young Wood Cutter adventures over this event and the Easter event. Most people I have spoken to say YWC drops around 4 to 8 adventures for every 10 YWC completed. this would seem to be right for the 50% ratio drop advertised on the Wiki adventure guild.

However......

I have completed 83 YWC adventures (that I have recorded) and from this 83 completed a adventure has dropped just 3 times. first adventure drop was after 31 completed YWC, then at 57 completed YWC then at 58 completed YWC. nothing has dropped since. I am not sure what percentage this is but its not a 50% drop rate.

is anyone else seeing this kind of rubbish odds or is just me?

Thanks

CM

I haven't done quite as many YWC as you, just around 20 I think. Didn't keep a record of them all but it was about what I had in star when event started.
I have had 1 70 refill drop, 2 0 refill drop, all the rest dropped 20 refill.

thanks but I was asking about adventure drops. not refill drops :)

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Originally Posted by Captain_Methane

Hey All

I was looking for some other players views on the rough percentage drop of adventures from Young Wood Cutter adventure. (Ali Baba 1st, 2nd and 3rd) I have done a LOT of Young Wood Cutter adventures over this event and the Easter event. Most people I have spoken to say YWC drops around 4 to 8 adventures for every 10 YWC completed. this would seem to be right for the 50% ratio drop advertised on the Wiki adventure guild.

However......

I have completed 83 YWC adventures (that I have recorded) and from this 83 completed a adventure has dropped just 3 times. first adventure drop was after 31 completed YWC, then at 57 completed YWC then at 58 completed YWC. nothing has dropped since. I am not sure what percentage this is but its not a 50% drop rate.

is anyone else seeing this kind of rubbish odds or is just me?

Thanks

CM

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Based on the information presented by the wiki there are many factors we don't know about to be able to judge if it's correct or not. Secondly and most importantly is the meaning of the information it's self. What it is saying is that half the players who do YWC will get a follow-on, what it is not saying is that you will get a follow-on half the time. What you also fail to account for is your rate of success when failing to get the desired result. It's possible to have a 300% success rate with this adventure while failing to obtain a follow-on.

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Originally Posted by Captain_Methane

thanks but I was asking about adventure drops. not refill drops :)

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Ooh, I see. Misunderstood the question earlier due to being half asleep and distracted then. XD

Anyway, to add to above I got 5 third thief, 3 second thief, 2 first thief from my tries if that helps any...

Dorotheus

I'm a little confused at your reply. I guess I expect the same drop rate of follow on's as all the rest of the players. which would be around 50%

*covers eyes and desperately hopes to avoid yet another probabilities argument *

Areop-Enap

that would help a lot if told me how many YWC you completed to get 10 follow-on's

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Originally Posted by Captain_Methane

Dorotheus

I'm a little confused at your reply. I guess I expect the same drop rate of follow on's as all the rest of the players. which would be around 50%

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There is no way of knowing where you was on the Bell curve or where you will be on it in the future.