Originally Posted by
Loucaux
Conali, Tage explicitly states that his calculations are based on 5000 simulations; it does not guarantee that you won't lose more. If all your troops make minimal damage and enemy troops make maximal -- you can lost as much as 68E in this battle -- but that does not mean anything, since the probability of such an event is unbelievably small. If you go for chances based on 1 million simulations, the empirical probability of losing at least 1E in this battle is approximately 0.05%.