Where is granite...

[Deorum]

SFTR again, 400logs.

[Dorotheus]

You fail to understand that the concept of total overall chances is WRONG.
Attempt 1 odds 50%
Attempt 2 odds 50%
Attempt 3 odds 50%
So on and so forth ad infinitum. The odds will always be 50%, adding a to the power x where x is the number of attempts is not applicable in this situation. It's not just maths which say so it's also the consumer laws of at least some of the country's where settlers is available.