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Thread: About Scenarios

  1. #11
    Wordsmith Durin_d's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dorotheus View Post
    BAAAHHHHHJJJAAA suggests using short searches as he says that increases your chances of finding one. I found his logic to be badly flawed.
    On short search you can find Twins and The Grain Conflict, on medium you can find The Grain Conflict and Heart Of The Wood and on long only Riches Of The Mountain. When the chance to find one of the scenarios is 1% on short and medium you have 1%+1%=2% chance to find a scenario.

  2. #12
    Ruler of the Land
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    Quote Originally Posted by Durin_d View Post
    When the chance to find one of the scenarios is 1% on short..
    Actually, 3,96% chance to find a scenanario, as there are 2 times (compared to medium) of 98% where outcome will be no scenario find (0,98 * 0,98 = 96,04%).
    Last edited by SmurfAsH; 13.07.15 at 12:58. Reason: wrong qoute and math ^^
    25/11-14 , 23/02-16 .. The end is coming and it will look like this .

  3. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by SmurfAsH View Post
    Actually, 1,99% chance to find a scenanario, as there are 2 times of 99% where outcome will be no scenario find (0,99 * 0,99 = 98,01%).
    Nope... for medium:
    1% chance of Grain Conflict + 1% chance of Heart of the Wood = 2% chance of scenario.

    and... for short:
    1% chance of Grain Conflict + 1% chance of Twins = 2% chance of scenario.

  4. #14
    Nifty
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    98/100! Two more to go. Short search allows a player to send out Explorers TWICE per day with even a bit of wiggle room. So after completing this "Scenario Search Legend" quest, I would suggest as I mentioned in earlier post to wait for a bulk purchase opportunity within Merchant in the many ways it could present itself.

  5. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ozzymandeus View Post
    ..
    and... for short:
    1% chance of Grain Conflict + 1% chance of Twins = 2% chance of scenario.
    Indeed, for one search.
    25/11-14 , 23/02-16 .. The end is coming and it will look like this .

  6. #16
    Nifty
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    Did you actually sit down and work out how much gunpowder is needed to do your recommended 1700 Rotm's.
    Not 1700, but 1 000 yes
    Just the important resources: 1 165 000 saltpetre (considering you buff powderhut with 4x buff for the gunpowder needed)
    100 000 granite

    Good luck to all of us

  7. #17
    Ruler of the Land
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    What you calculate the chance of finding one is not enough, unless you include a loot multiplier you results are meaningless.
    When it comes to Gene pools and shallow ends they can be found at the bar drinking pina colada's

  8. #18
    Original Serf
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    how much would someone pay for the grain conflict ?

  9. #19
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    So, according to settlersonlinewiki.eu, a new treasure search will become available..
    ..returning the new, high-level resources as rewards.
    ..but what about adventure search? No new search?

    Perhaps time for BB devs to revamp adv search and make search for scenarios an own search option among adv search options..
    25/11-14 , 23/02-16 .. The end is coming and it will look like this .

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