Instead of debating probability, theory and practice, let's focus on facts, shall we?
1. I have clearly described the suspected bug, its symptom, and a method to reliably reproduce it.
2. I have run 20 tests, resulting in all 20 occurrences of "1000 dmg". I have provided evidence for at least one of those occurrences.
3. Any single EVIDENCE to the contrary NEGATES my claim completely, it's really that easy.
From my own experience, this format of bug reporting is ideal.
On the other hand, more attempts at explaining probability - or one's interpretation of it - are not actually getting us anywhere.
And I don't really need the lecture myself, I already have the diplomas to prove it, thank you...
Edit: A note regarding expected result:
My "hidden assumption" which might need clarifying is:
I expect the (P)RNG result to NOT be 100% correlated with
(i) Using Anslem specifically,
(ii) Using exactly one Elite unit,
(iii) Attacking a specific camp.
ONLY if these 3 conditions are the sole inputs to the PRNG, then the observed results match the expected results.
However, I would expect this to be considered a bad implementation of the PRNG, because it is wide open for exploitation (e.g. find which attacks with which general produce
consistent lower-than-expected losses, and keep using only those).